Ko te hanga hiko o te ra ki Hapani i te tau 2030, ka tukuna e nga ra paki te nuinga o te hiko awatea?

I te Maehe 30, 2022, ko te Pūnaha Matawhānui Rauemi, e tirotiro ana i te whakaurunga o nga punaha whakaputa hiko hiko (PV) i Hapani, i whakaatu i te uara tuturu me te tumanako o te whakaurunga o te punaha photovoltaic i te tau 2020. I te tau 2030, ka whakaputahia te "Prediction of the te whakaurunga o te hanga hiko photovoltaic i te maakete Hapani i te tau 2030 (putanga 2022)”.

E ai ki ana whakatau, ko te whakaurunga whakaurunga o nga punaha photovoltaic i Hapani i te tau 2020 he 72GW, i runga i te putanga tika o naianei (DC).I roto i te "take tipu o naianei" ki te pupuri i te tere o naianei o nga whakaurunga DC mo te 8 GW ia tau, ko te matapae ko 154 GW, me te putanga o naianei (AC) (AC) o 121 GW i te FY2030Note 1).I tetahi atu taha, ko te "Introduction Acceleration Case", e tika ana kia tino whakapai ake me te whakatairanga i te taiao kawemai, he turanga DC o 180GW (AC turanga o 140GW).

Ma te ara, i roto i te "Mahere Awhiowhio Tuaono" i hangaia e te Manatu ohaoha, Tauhokohoko me te Ahumahi i te Oketopa 22, 2021, ko te nui o te hiko solar i whakauruhia ki Hapani i te 2030 ko "117.6GW (AC i te taumata whakahirahira).turanga)”.Ko te taumata “whakapaipai” a Te Manatu ohaoha, Tauhokohoko me te Ahumahi e tata ana ki te tere o nga whakaurunga o naianei.

Heoi, ka whakatauhia enei uara whakaputa punaha PV-DC ina tutuki etahi tikanga penei i te pāmahana me te koki ra.Inaa, e 7 nga wa (×0.7) te tihi o te whakaputa hiko kupenga.Arā, i te tau 2030, e matapaetia ana ka taea e ia te whakaputa mo te 85 GW i raro i te ahuatanga o te tipu o naianei a tawhio noa te poupoutanga o te ra i te rangi paki i te awatea, me te tata ki te 98 GW i raro i te whakamohiotanga tere (e rua AC-based ).

I tetahi atu taha, ko te 160GW te nui o te tono hiko a-tau o Hapani (i runga i te ahua o naianei).I mua i te ru nui ki te Rawhiti o Hapani i Maehe 2011, ko te 180GW (he rite tonu ki runga ake nei), engari na te ahu whakamua o te mahi whakaora hiko hapori, kua heke te tere o te tipu ohaoha, kua piki haere te whakarereketanga o te hanganga ohaoha, me te kua heke te whakaputa hiko.Mena he rite tonu te tono hiko i te tau 2030 ki te waa inaianei, ka taea te tatau ko te 98GW / 160GW = 61% neke atu ranei o te hiahia hiko katoa o Hapani ka taea e te hiko o te ra i te awatea me te rangi paki.